Rollbit X-Roulette fairness check
Across 82,084 recorded rounds, Rollbit X-Roulette is statistically consistent with its published formula and return.
All recorded rounds, judged together with every other check on the monitor.
| Check | Measured (95% range) | Stated | Rounds | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shape of the result curvevs the operator's own formula | p 1.00 | Formula curve | 82,084 | Consistent |
| Return at 2x implied by every roundMaximum likelihood under the formula; uses the share of rounds that end at 1.00x | 95.03% (94.86 to 95.19) | 95.00% | 82,084 | Consistent |
| Cash out at 1.5x | 95.22% (94.73 to 95.72) | 95.00% | 82,084 | Consistent |
| Cash out at 2x | 95.25% (94.57 to 95.94) | 95.00% | 82,084 | Consistent |
| Cash out at 5x | 95.17% (93.84 to 96.52) | 95.00% | 82,084 | Too little data |
| Cash out at 10x | 94.72% (92.74 to 96.74) | 95.00% | 82,084 | Too little data |
How we calculate this
Each round ends at one multiplier. For a cash-out at a target, the return is the target times the share of rounds that reached it. We compare that share with what the operator's own formula (Rollbit Verify Fairness dialog: floor(100 x 0.95 / x) / 100 (one multiplier per round, like X-Crash)) predicts, give a 95% range for every figure, and mark targets with too few rounds as insufficient instead of showing a number we can't stand behind. Targets from 20x to 100x appear by themselves once enough rounds have reached them. The implied return uses every round at once: under the formula, the share of rounds that end at 1.00x fixes the return at every target.
Every check gets a two-sided p-value. Because 177 checks run on this monitor at once, the p-values are corrected with the Holm method before a result counts as not consistent (corrected p below 0.01). A result with an uncorrected p below 0.01 is shown as borderline. These thresholds are set in advance and are the same for every game. Full method.
Formula: Rollbit Verify Fairness dialog: floor(100 x 0.95 / x) / 100 (one multiplier per round, like X-Crash).